Results of NOT Spinning Chests All Season

Fellow Pilots,

Last week, the U's faculty posted about whether spinning or not spinning "black market" chests yielded better results.  Note for my friends at Pixonic - In English, "black market" does not mean the consumer is in the dark with regards to what he is purchasing.  It means the sale is somehow extra-legal, like scalping concert tickets on the street outside the stadium or buying prescription drugs for non-medicinal use.  A better term for this game would be "Las Vegas-style roulette," or something like that.  We also would prefer "decline" to "reject" on squad requests, but that's a post for another day.  Anyway, drumroll please ...

This result seems consistent with what you might obtain in four gold chests and one silver (there are some free bronze spins below in my reward log too, but I didn't want to waste your time showing them).  So, combined with what happened last time, we've got recommendations!

• If you want to receive ONLY components and gold, don't spin.
• If you want some non-component items and silver, spinning is a better strategy.  For a tally of one player's results on over 3000 free bronze chest spins, click here.

Now, for the question of progress toward a "superchest."  Some diligent research has been done by Professors Tempest, SOS, and Harry Hansen:

What we don't know is how Pixonic converts end-of-season accumulations over 7650 keys.  Do these players receive a "superchest" result?  NOTE: after publication, I saw this post on Reddit that answers in the negative.  I'll try to get there by spinning free chests and saving the rest, but it looks like a pretty tall order in terms of the amount one must play.  In a preliminary analysis of the player's 3000 bronze chest results, it appears that for every chest opened, a player obtains 1.3 keys.  So a player who gets in 10 battles a day and uses the commercials for free spins would presumbably get about 400 extra keys.  With Pixonic allowing five free/unearned commercial views daily, the same pilot could easily add 200 or more keys over the course of a month.

So we aren't sure of the best strategy yet for super chests.  There's a lot of data out there, but it will require some forum digging and compilation.  We know "super" chests aren't always super - they contain easily obtained components like Hover and Gust, gold items like Galahad and Rogatka, and there is always a good chance of receiving something you already have in your hangar.

The market isn't black - it's a casino.

Your humble servant,
Dr. Yat

PS: Thanks to fellow Redditors like BillPreston, Roentgn, and Globularist for additional information and corrections to the data above!

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